antoniomadera.es Macro, seen through the lens of credit risk
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Antonio Madera del Pozo — Macro, seen through the lens of credit risk

The monitor

The data, live

Five interactive dashboards tracking the world economy: the daily pulse, the structural picture, the map of geopolitical risk, the sector thermometer and the price of money and risk. Interface in Spanish.

Updated daily
GDP growth 2026 (forecast, %)
US Spain Euro area Germany France 2,32,1 0,90,70,6
Euro-area inflation (year on year, %)
2,0 2,5 3,0 FebAprJunJul 2,9%
+2,1%
Spain GDP 2026 (f)
0,9%
Euro area GDP 2026 (f)
100,2%
Spanish debt (% of GDP)
10
Economies compared
Fundamentals

The credit analyst’s craft

Credit theory, applied accounting and the vocabulary used in a rating committee. Reference material for corporate bond analysts and risk departments. In Spanish.

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Bulletin

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Press

In the media

Op-eds, interviews and conference talks: Expansión, Cinco Días, El Confidencial, El País, El Economista, Canal Extremadura…

On video

Video and conference talks

SpainSIF · Ponencia

Sustainable investment and credit rating agencies

Instituto de Estudios Financieros · Ponencia

Sustainability ratings: state of play and pending challenges

Canal Extremadura · Entrevista

More tax, less purchasing power: Spaniards bear a fiscal effort 17% above average

Antonio Madera del Pozo, economista y analista de rating soberano

Antonio Madera del Pozo — economist, credit rating analyst and university lecturer.

About

Professional profile

Economist, lecturer and speaker. PhD in Economics, cum laude (Ramón de San Pedro Award) and co-director of the online MBA at Universidad Europea. Over twenty years in credit risk analysis: from cooperative banking and IBEX 35 corporates to European sovereign ratings.

Professional experience +
Apr 2018 — Present

Senior Director & Chief Economist

EthiFinance Ratings

European credit rating agency supervised by ESMA. Analysis of sovereign and sub-sovereign entities, permanent member of the rating committees and responsible for developing sovereign rating methodologies integrating ESG factors.

Best Forecaster Award for Spain, four consecutive years
Sept 2021 — Present

MBA Co-Director · Lecturer in Accounting

Universidad Europea

Co-director of the fully online MBA programme; teaching in accounting and the economic environment.

2019 — 2022

Lecturer in Accounting

Universidad Pontificia Comillas — ICADE

University teaching in accounting and finance.

Second Case Studies Award, ASEPUC 2021
2010 — 2018

Senior Credit Risk Analyst

Banco Cooperativo Español

Credit risk of large corporates, project finance, LBOs and syndicated loans. Portfolio focused on IBEX 35 and continuous-market companies, plus regional and other sub-sovereign governments.

2009 — 2010

Junior Credit Risk Analyst

Caja Madrid

Credit risk analysis of corporates, LBOs and project finance.

2005 — 2008

CFO

GUPAC AIE

Head of the finance department of a property development and construction company.

Education +
2012 — 2016 · Cum laude

PhD in Financial Economics and Accounting

Universidad Pontificia Comillas — ICADE

Ramón de San Pedro Award for best doctoral thesis. Financial soundness of Spanish rural credit cooperatives using logit models and Cox regression.

2009 — 2011

MSc in Economic Research

Universidad Pontificia Comillas — ICADE
2008 — 2009

MSc in Finance

Universidad Pontificia Comillas — ICADE
2007

MSc in International Trade

ESIC Business & Marketing School
2000 — 2005

BSc in Economics

Universidad de Extremadura
Languages

Spanish (native) · English C1 (IELTS 7.0)

Academic research +
2023

Corporate Social Responsibility in a Dynamic Global Environment

Book chapter · Springer

2023

Essential Concepts of Sustainable Finance: An A-Z Guide

Book chapter · Taylor & Francis

2021

Do the ESG factors affect a bank insolvency? A study applied to Spanish credit cooperatives

7th International Conference on CSR, Sustainability, Ethics and Governance · Lisboa

Best Paper Award
2019

A synthetic index for predicting financial distress in Spanish rural credit cooperatives

6th Paris Financial Management Conference · París

2019

Mergers between Spanish Credit Unions as a mechanism to prevent insolvencies (1990-2006)

10th International Workshop on Cooperative and Responsible Finance · Trento

2019

Analysis of the effects of a European debt mutualization

International Public Policy Association · Montreal

2018

Developing a synthetic index to measure financial soundness of Spanish Cajas Rurales

European Association of Cooperative Banks

2013

The influence of European countries on the risk premium of a common bond

Fundación Cajas de Ahorro (Funcas)

360°
In preparation · 2027

I am writing a book on the integrated analysis of the firm

Credit risk and ESG risk: two disciplines that are, as I have long argued, two ways of looking at the same thing. Four parts, twenty-two chapters and a methodological proposal of my own.

See the full contents
Contact

Let’s talk economics, ratings or teaching.

Available for media contributions, conference talks, executive education and economic analysis.